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SPYNew all-time high in Q154.0%-1.4ppAAPLApple beats EPS72.0%+1.1ppFEDMarch rate cut 25bps41.0%-5.8ppBTCBTC above $100k EOY61.0%+2.7ppOAIOpenAI files S-1 in 202622.0%+3.2ppNVDANVDA above $50068.0%+3.2ppETHETH/BTC > 0.0534.0%-2.1ppCPICPI below 3.0%63.0%+4.4ppWCFrance wins World Cup39.0%+1.2ppNFLVegas favorite wins SB56.0%+1.9pp
SPYNew all-time high in Q154.0%-1.4ppAAPLApple beats EPS72.0%+1.1ppFEDMarch rate cut 25bps41.0%-5.8ppBTCBTC above $100k EOY61.0%+2.7ppOAIOpenAI files S-1 in 202622.0%+3.2ppNVDANVDA above $50068.0%+3.2ppETHETH/BTC > 0.0534.0%-2.1ppCPICPI below 3.0%63.0%+4.4ppWCFrance wins World Cup39.0%+1.2ppNFLVegas favorite wins SB56.0%+1.9pp
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FED
Economy$FOMCEnds in 46d 0h

Will the Fed cut rates by 25bps at the March FOMC?

Federal Open Market Committee · Rate decision

Current probability
41%-5.8pp
41%
Yes
Outcomes
  • No change59%+5.8pp
  • 25 bps cut41%-5.8pp
  • 50 bps cut4%-0.2pp
Resolution

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